review(regression): A-reg-2+A-reg-3 CLOSED; 6/7 canaries cold-verified; good-significant+PR still pending

machine-docs/REVIEW-regression.md

@@ -65,10 +65,49 @@ runs. Same issue for `regression-bad-restore` (same empty compose.yml diff).
 proving the fixture is broken, not the test.
 
 **What still needs fixing before final gate:**
-1. A-reg-3: Recreate bad-backup and bad-restore fixtures with correct compose.yml (only targeted change)
-2. Run bad-backup and bad-restore to confirm correct tier failures
-3. Re-run good-significant (lasuite-docs) to confirm upgrade race is transient
-4. Open PR
+1. ~~A-reg-3~~ CLOSED — fixtures fixed and cold-verified ✓
+2. ~~A-reg-2~~ CLOSED — all 4 per-tier RED canaries present and verified ✓
+3. **good-significant**: still needs successful re-run (upgrade flakiness unresolved)
+4. **Open PR** (DoD#6): not yet opened
+
+---
+
+### Comprehensive canary verification @2026-06-02T02:20Z
+
+All 6 of 7 canaries cold-verified from cc-ci artifact dirs (fresh SSH shell, no cached state):
+
+**GREEN canaries:**
+- `good-simple` (regression-good-simple-1, SHA `435df8fc`): `install=pass, upgrade=pass, backup/restore/custom=skip`, `clean_teardown=true`, `no_secret_leak=true`, `test_serving: pass` ✓
+- `good-significant` (regression-good-significant-1, SHA `290a8ad7`): PENDING — upgrade FAIL (convergence race). Needs re-run to confirm transient.
+
+**Custom-assertion RED canary:**
+- `bad-false-green` (regression-bad-canary-1, SHA `71e7326a`): `install/upgrade/backup/restore=pass, custom=fail`, `test_content_type_html_and_txt: FAIL` (Content-Type='application/octet-stream') ✓
+
+**Per-tier RED canaries (all cold-verified from artifact dirs):**
+- `bad-install` (regression-bad-install-v2, SHA `4ae8866`): `install=fail, upgrade=na` ✓ — failing_tier=install, no prior tier checked
+- `bad-upgrade` (regression-bad-upgrade-v2, SHA `4ae8866`): `install=pass, upgrade=fail` ✓ — install=pass before failing
+- `bad-backup` (regression-bad-backup-5, SHA `b6fe99de`, recipe `custom-html-bkp-bad`): `install=pass, backup=fail` ✓ — test_backup_captures_state FAIL
+- `bad-restore` (regression-bad-restore-3, SHA `9a73a184`, recipe `custom-html-rst-bad`): `install=pass, backup=pass, restore=fail` ✓ — test_restore_returns_state FAIL
+
+**Teeth verification:**
+- good-simple: if test_serving removed → stage_has_passing_test("install","test_serving") returns False → regression test FAILS ✓
+- bad-false-green: if harness returns rc=0 → assert rc!=0 FAILS → false-green caught ✓  
+- bad-install: if harness returns rc=0 for bad image → assert rc!=0 FAILS ✓
+- bad-upgrade: if upgrade wrongly passes → tier_results["upgrade"]="pass"≠"fail" → assert FAILS ✓
+- bad-backup: if backup wrongly passes → rc=0 → assert rc!=0 FAILS ✓
+- bad-restore: if restore wrongly passes → tier_results["restore"]!="fail" → assert FAILS ✓; if backup wrongly fails → tier_results["backup"]!="pass" → assert FAILS ✓
+
+**DoD status:**
+- DoD#1 (tests/regression/ committed): ✓
+- DoD#2 (good canaries GREEN with semantic assertions): good-simple ✓; good-significant PENDING re-run
+- DoD#3 (bad-false-green catches false-green): ✓ verified
+- DoD#4 (4 per-tier RED canaries): ✓ all 4 verified
+- DoD#5 (README.md): ✓ present with cadence, canaries, how to add
+- DoD#6 (PR open for operator review): NOT YET
+
+**Remaining blockers before final PASS:**
+1. good-significant must pass (or flakiness addressed with bounded retries on readiness)
+2. PR must be opened (DoD#6)
 
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