status(lvl5): before/after table real values (398/399/405/406/407/413) + canary designed-level re-derivation (415/416 red @ L1)
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autonomic-bot
2026-06-11 11:15:31 +00:00
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@ -61,28 +61,39 @@ Baseline = latest results.json on cc-ci per recipe re-scored under the CURRENT (
their four essential rungs. Predicted = same tier outcomes + sweep lint result under the new
rule (assumption flagged; P4 produces the real values).
| recipe | baseline rungs (latest artifact) | baseline level | predicted new level | why it shifts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bluesky-pds | no artifact (deploy-gated upstream, shot-phase N/A) | | | still deploy-gated |
| cryptpad | I U B F (#181) | 4 | 5 | + lint pass |
| custom-html | I U B F (#182) | 4 | 5 | + lint pass |
| custom-html-tiny | I U B-na F-na (#205, predates functional/) | 2 | 5 | de-cap: backup skip declared; functional/ tests exist now; + lint |
| discourse | I U B F (#184) | 4 | 5 | + lint pass |
| ghost | I U B F (#185) | 4 | 5 | + lint pass |
| hedgedoc | I U B F (#113) | 4 | 5 | + lint pass |
| immich | I U B F (#370) | 4 | 5 | + lint pass |
| keycloak | I U B F (#187) | 4 | 5 | + lint pass |
| lasuite-docs | I U B F (#188) | 4 | 5 | + lint pass |
| lasuite-drive | I U B F (#189) | 4 | 5 | + lint pass |
| lasuite-meet | I U B F (#204) | 4 | 5 | + lint pass |
| mailu | I U B-na F (#191) | 2 | 5 | de-cap: not backup-capable skip climbs (the §2.9 N/A-skip demo) |
| matrix-synapse | I U B F (#203) | 4 | 5 | + lint pass |
| mattermost-lts | I U B F (#196) | 4 | 5 | + lint pass |
| mumble | no results.json artifact retained | | | P4 run to establish |
| n8n | I U B F (#197) | 4 | 5 | + lint pass |
| plausible | I U B F (#371) | 4 | 5 | + lint pass |
| uptime-kuma | I U B F (#165) | 4 | 5 | + lint pass |
| recipe | baseline rungs (latest artifact) | baseline level | predicted new level | REAL new level (P4 run) | why it shifts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bluesky-pds | no artifact (deploy-gated upstream, shot-phase N/A) | | | (still deploy-gated; documented N/A) | still deploy-gated |
| cryptpad | I U B F (#181) | 4 | 5 | (not re-run; analytic 5) | + lint pass |
| custom-html | I U B F (#182) | 4 | 5 | **4** (#405 PR4 lintdemo: lint fail R011; main analytic 5) | + lint pass |
| custom-html-tiny | I U B-na F-na (#205, predates functional/) | 2 | 5 | **5** (#399 N/A-skip climb, was 2) | de-cap: backup skip declared; functional/ tests exist now; + lint |
| discourse | I U B F (#184) | 4 | 5 | (not re-run; analytic 5) | + lint pass |
| ghost | I U B F (#185) | 4 | 5 | (not re-run; analytic 5) | + lint pass |
| hedgedoc | I U B F (#113) | 4 | 5 | **5** (#398, 100s) | + lint pass |
| immich | I U B F (#370) | 4 | 5 | **5** (#406, drone !testme PR2, 199s) | + lint pass |
| keycloak | I U B F (#187) | 4 | 5 | (not re-run; analytic 5) | + lint pass |
| lasuite-docs | I U B F (#188) | 4 | 5 | (not re-run; analytic 5) | + lint pass |
| lasuite-drive | I U B F (#189) | 4 | 5 | (not re-run; analytic 5) | + lint pass |
| lasuite-meet | I U B F (#204) | 4 | 5 | (not re-run; analytic 5) | + lint pass |
| mailu | I U B-na F (#191) | 2 | 5 | (not re-run; analytic 5 same de-cap as #399) | de-cap: not backup-capable skip climbs (the §2.9 N/A-skip demo) |
| matrix-synapse | I U B F (#203) | 4 | 5 | (not re-run; analytic 5) | + lint pass |
| mattermost-lts | I U B F (#196) | 4 | 5 | (not re-run; analytic 5) | + lint pass |
| mumble | no results.json artifact retained | | | **5** (#413, 80s first retained artifact) | P4 run to establish |
| n8n | I U B F (#197) | 4 | 5 | (not re-run; analytic 5) | + lint pass |
| plausible | I U B F (#371) | 4 | 5 | **5** (#407, drone !testme PR3, 164s) | + lint pass |
| uptime-kuma | I U B F (#165) | 4 | 5 | (not re-run; analytic 5) | + lint pass |
Canaries (designed levels under the NEW formula, re-derived): custom-html-bkp-bad /
custom-html-rst-bad backup-capable with a failing backup/restore tier backup_restore rung
FAIL level 2 (fail still blocks; run verdict red as today). To be proven in P4.
### Canary designed-level re-derivation (P4, runs 415/416 — 2026-06-11)
Under the NEW formula the bad canaries' designed level is **1**, not the old 2: their mirrors
carry no published version tags on the SRC+REF path upgrade = intentional skip (climbs past
but never earns), backup_restore = FAIL blocks level = install = 1. Verified live: 415
(bkp-bad) + 416 (rst-bad) both **verdict FAILURE (red)**, rungs
{install: pass, upgrade: skip, backup_restore: fail, functional: unver (post-failure abort),
lint: pass}, LEVEL 1. Backup/restore fail still blocks; verdict logic untouched.
(First attempts 411/412 failed in 1s: canaries are mirror-only, not catalogue recipes they
need SRC+REF params, as prior phases ran them.)